In an excellent use of the Facebook, UMR research did a preview of a poll that it is releasing tomorrow on MMP.
It is based on the referenda we will undertake at the next election. My feeling is that it will be a tight race and a lot will depend on peoples satisfaction with the Government going into the election.
The poll puts MMP on 48 per cent support with 40 per cent saying they would like a change of system (I assume the remainder don't know).
I think most peoples disatisfaction with MMP arose when a large number of people didn't end up getting the government they wanted after a minor party shifted its support around. Like for example in 1996, when NZ First went with National after saying it would never do that, and NZ First accepting those baubles in 2005 with the relatively popular Greens missing out altogether.
But currently we have a popular government, so not surprisingly, most people are opting to stick with the status quo. So this could change obviously - especially if the Government continues to "do nothing" as Rodney says.
As I've said before, I think we need to keep MMP, but I would like to see a few improvements.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
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